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Reggie Yinger
Dr. Lineup: The Three and Four Hitters
Saturday October 27th, 2012
Miggy and Fielder are "back-to-back fricken threats." (US Presswire)
There was an article a few days ago from ESPN.com's Jerry Crasnick discussing Detroit Tigers superstars Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder. The article details the pair's friendship since Fielder arrived in in Detroit prior to the start of the 2012 season.

Among other things, Crasnick's article featured a detailed quote (near the end) from former Tigers pitcher Jack Morris. Crasnick quoted Morris as saying:

"They're [Fielder and Cabrera] the quintessential back-to-back frickin' threats in the lineup"

The quote from Morris tickled my nerdy baseball side and I decided to put Jack's quote to the test to see if in fact, Miggy and Fielder were "the quintessential frickin' threats" he proclaimed them to be.

Below are all three and four hitters from the 2012 regular season ranked by wRC (weighted runs created) broken down by team. These numbers are only for three and four hitters who started the game in that spot (throws out pinch hitters).

Google Visualization API Sample
2012 wRC - Lineup 3 & 4 Spots for Starts (min. 75 Pa)2012DETMILSFLADNYYTEXCINMINCOLSTLLAANYMPITTORSDWSHBALARIOAKCWSPHICHCATLCLEKCMIABOSTBSEAHOU100150200250300TeamwRC
2012

**I used 75 plate appearances in order to remove the guys who filled in. Basically, I wanted the regular 3 & 4 hitters.

The results are pretty clear. Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder were monsters during the 2012 regular season from the three and four spots in the lineup. The next closest team were the Milwaukee Brewers with 243 wRC thanks to terrific seasons from Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez.

While most teams had a regular duo of three and four hitters, some teams used several players (for various reasons) in the middle of the order. For example, the Cleveland Indians created 166 wRC from the three and four spots this season using seven different hitters.

Below is a table of players just for the 2012 season by wRC and lineup spot. All three and four hitters.

Google Visualization API Sample
PlayerTeamLineupwRC
Miguel CabreraDET3143
Ryan BraunMIL3137
Andrew McCutchenPIT3131
Prince FielderDET4122
Matt HollidaySTL3118
Buster PoseySF4115
Adrian BeltreTEX4114
Josh HamiltonTEX3110
Albert PujolsLAA3108
Joe MauerMIN3107
Chase HeadleySD3107
Aramis RamirezMIL4107
Joey VottoCIN3105
David WrightNYM3105
Ryan ZimmermanWSH399
Adam JonesBAL495
Paul KonerkoCWS494
Carlos GonzalezCOL488
Adam DunnCWS487
Josh WillinghamMIN483
Matt KempLAD379
Billy ButlerKC479
Josh ReddickOAK477
Robinson CanoNYY476
Melky CabreraSF375

Pretty easy to see why the Tigers were at the top of the list. Players like Andrew McCutchen and Chase Headley will continue to fly under the radar (to casual baseball fans) until their respected teams start winning. However, they are still very good at creating offense.

To dig deeper, I wanted to see how the 2012 Tigers Duo compared to other three and four hitters from previous seasons. Were Cabrera and Fielder a one-of-a-kind duo in 2012, or were other teams just as good in previous years?

Below is a chart that is identical to the the first chart posted, but it also includes the 2011 and 2010 seasons.

Google Visualization API Sample
2010-2012 wRC - Lineup 3 & 4 Spots for Starts (min. 75 Pa)201220112010DETMILSFLADNYYTEXCINMINCOLSTLLAANYMPITTORSDWSHBALARIOAKCWSPHICHCATLCLEKCMIABOSTBSEAHOU100150200250300TeamwRC
2010

Over the past three seasons, the Tigers 2012 duo of Fielder and Cabrera was the best in all of baseball in terms of wRC. Although Fielder left the Brewers and contributed to the Tigers in 2012, Aramis Ramirez did a significant job in filling in for Prince, helping Braun boost the Milwaukee Brewers near the top again in 2012.

Over the past three seasons, Milwaukee has led all of baseball with 725 wRC from the three and four hitters in the lineup. The first two interesting numbers that jump out from the three year numbers are the San Francisco Giants (116 wRC in 2011 and jumped up to 231 wRC in 2012) and the Boston Red Sox (233 wRC in 2011 fell down to 139 wRC in 2012).

Obviously the biggest factor for the Giants jump in 2012 was in large part due to a healthy season from Buster Posey. Although Posey's numbers are expected, Melky Cabrera also posted 75 wRC from the number three spot before his suspension. Also chipping in was Pablo Sandoval from the three spot with 41 wRC.

The Red Sox had all kinds of issues in 2012, and the middle of their lineup didn't help. Adrian Gonzalez contributed 18 wRC in 201 plate appearances before his departure to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The biggest helper in 2012 was Dustin Pedroia with 44 wRC. Back in 2011, the Red Sox had Kevin Youkilis helping out with 78 wRC and Adrian Gonzalez had 123 wRC. David Ortiz contributed a combined 48 wRC in 2011 and 2012 from the three and four spots in the lineup.

The table below gives a break down of the top contributors by wRC by season from the time period between 2010 and 2012.

Google Visualization API Sample
PlayerTeamYearLineupwRC
Miguel CabreraDET20123143
Miguel CabreraDET20114137
Ryan BraunMIL20123137
Jose BautistaTOR20113136
Joey VottoCIN20103135
Joey VottoCIN20113133
Andrew McCutchenPIT20123131
Ryan BruanMIL20113128
Miguel CabreraDET20104124
Adrian GonzalezBOS20113123
Prince FielderMIL20114123
Albert PujolsSTL20103123
Prince FielderDET20124122
Paul KonerkoCWS20104118
Matt HollidaySTL20123118
Buster PoseySF20124115
Adrian BeltreTEX20124114
Justin UptonARI20113114
Mark TeixeiraNYY20103112
Josh HamiltonTEX20123110
Albert PujolsLAA20123108
Albert PujolsSTL20113107
Joe MauerMIN20123107
Chase HeadleySD20123107
Aramis RamirezMIL20124107
Joey VottoCIN20123105
David WrightNYM20123105
Ryan BraunMIL20103103
Matt HollidaySTL20104102
Troy TulowitzkiCOL20114102
Vernon WellsTOR20104100

No real surprises on the list, except for Vernon Wells in 2010. With all his recent struggles and trade to the Los Angeles Angels, some likely forget he had some good seasons in Toronto. Overall, the players that remain constant threats in the middle of the lineup are Miguel Cabrera, Joey Votto, Ryan Braun, and Albert Pujols.

In conclusion, the 2012 season was a big production year for the bats in the middle in the lineup. The Cabrera and Fielder duo was one of the best baseball fans have seen in recent memory, but could be a consistent theme for the next few seasons.
Reggie Yinger is a writer and the co-founder of Baseball Press. He is also a computer programmer. His work has been featured in several print and online publications. He enjoys fantasy baseball and hates when players bunt in baseball.
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