Fantasy owners will always try to get a "complete" package player on draft day. However, your team will likely have holes to fill in certain statistical categories. In Low Book Value and High Return, we will examine players with low average draft positions (ADP) who can either be drafted in later rounds or picked off of the waiver wire prior to the start of the season.
Low Book Value and High Return - Stolen Bases
Saturday February 11th, 2012
Below are several hitters who are cheap sources of stolen bases. Most of these players can't help out significantly in other fantasy baseball categories, but will rank near the top of the league in steals when the season ends.
ADP data via Mock Draft Central. Values as of February 11, 2012.
Ben Revere - Minnesota Twins (ADP: 232.57)
Outfielder Ben Revere stole 34 bases in 117 games for the Minnesota Twins in 2011, and the 23-year-old speedster has a track record of swiping bases with 154 swiped bags in 5 minor league seasons. He won't hit for power or a high batting average, but he's likely to steal about 45 bases for the Twins in 2012. At his current draft position, Revere is a great late-round addition for any fantasy owner in need of speed.
Emilio Bonifacio - Miami Marlins (ADP: 172.13)
The versatile Emilio Bonifacio stole 40 bases in 152 games last season while establishing himself as an everyday player for the Marlins, due to his teammates' inconsistent play and injuries. Although the Marlins have Jose Reyes and Hanley Ramirez penciled in as the starting left side of their infield, Bonifacio will likely be the starting center fielder on opening day. Even if the team signs Cuban prospect Yoenis Cespedes before the start of the season, he won't be ready to play at the major league level right away. Not only do owners get steals with Emilio, but they also receive a true utility man, with eligibility at shortstop, third base, outfield, and second base in some leagues. Draft him in the later rounds and enjoy the steals, the high on-base percentage, and the multiple position eligibility.
Cameron Maybin - San Diego Padres (ADP: 103.50)
Padres outfielder Cameron Maybin has a higher draft position than most of the players in the article, likely because he can offer a double-digit home run total along with about 40 stolen bases. Last season, Maybin played in 137 games and swiped 40 bases with 9 home runs but, while Maybin has some power in his bat, unfortunately his home field Petco Park can suppress that power. Regardless, Maybin is valuable for his stolen base totals and, if he can throw in double-digit home run production, there's yet another reason to draft him.
Erick Aybar - Los Angeles Angels (ADP: 147.56)
The fantasy baseball shortstop position definitely lacks depth, and unless you draft a Troy Tulowitzki or Jose Reyes-type, you'll either be reaching down for an SS or waiting for a "sleeper" on draft day. Enter Angels infielder Erick Aybar, who has stolen 66 bases over the past three seasons and has hit .280/.327/.391 (average/on-base/slugging) during the same time frame. Aybar hit in his club's leadoff spot for most of the 2011 season, and will likely due the same in 2012. With the addition of Albert Pujols to the Angels lineup, the valuable Aybar should see an increase in runs scored this season. Based on current ADP data, he's probably being drafted a little too early, but with the lack of productive fantasy shortstops, sometimes it makes sense to reach for a player.
Angel Pagan - San Francisco Giants (ADP: 170.61)
After his off-season trade from the New York Mets to the San Francisco Giants, outfielder Angel Pagan now finds himself as the everyday center fielder and leadoff hitter for the Giants in 2012. In 274 games since the beginning of the 2010 season, Pagan has stolen 69 bases and posted a .332 on-base percentage. His stolen base percentage since 2010 is 81 percent, and he has been caught a total of just 16 times. The 30-year-old outfielder is a free agent after the 2012 season, so expect him to post big stolen base numbers as he pushes for a new multi-year contract.
Coco Crisp - Oakland Athletics (ADP: 156.16)
Coco Crisp's name is a favorite each year among fantasy owners looking for cheap steals. Crisp's 49 stolen bases led the American League in 2011 and, since 2009, Crisp has stolen 94 bases in 108 attempts (good for an 87 percent success rate). The A's will likely be a terrible team in 2012, but at least if you draft or own Crisp, you can cash in on his approximately 40 steals.
by Anonymous on Sunday February 12th @ 10:37AM
Revere is not leading off for the Twins in 2012. Span is.
by Reggie Yinger on Sunday February 12th @ 11:00AM
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